Week of October 12, 2026  ·  Le Dossier

A week the bulls gave back

The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, open-interest walls, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.

Published Sunday Oct 18Weekly editionNext issue · Oct 2512 min read
01

What mattered this week

The few things from this week that change how next week sets up.

SPY finished the trailing five sessions at −1.97%. Into next week, open interest brackets SPY between the 731 put wall and the 782 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.

02

How the desk's week finished

Every trade the desk closed this week, grouped by book, with the best level each reached.

11 trades closed this week, 8 green — 73%.

By book
BookWinsTradesWin rate
daytrade81173%
Best peaks this week
TradeBookPeak
SPY 770C 2026-10-15daytrade+261%
TSLL 9.5C 2026-11-06daytrade+27%
SPY 772C 2026-10-15daytrade+25%
SPY 765C 2026-10-16daytrade+21%
QQQ 726C 2026-10-15daytrade+0%
03

How the week actually traded

Index and cross-asset closes measured against where the week began.

Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.

Five-session performance
IndexCloseLast day5 days
S&P 500 (SPY)763.25−1.11%−1.97%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)709.80−2.50%−5.52%
Dow (DIA)519.10−0.40%+0.58%
Russell 2000 (IWM)270.44−1.69%−3.05%
04

Cross-Asset

Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.

Cross-asset, five sessions
MarketLast5 days
VIX19.99+34.70%
10-yr yield5.098−2.78%
Dollar index101.84−0.36%
WTI crude99.02+7.81%
Gold4,181.1−0.83%
Bitcoin81,872−1.47%
05

Which sectors money rotated into

Five-day performance against twenty-one-day. Upper-right is leadership; lower-left is where money left.

Staples leads over the window at +3.83%; Technology brings up the rear at −6.60%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.

Rotation map

5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership

LEADINGWEAKENINGLAGGINGIMPROVING21-DAY RETURN5-DAY RETURNXLKXLFXLEXLVXLYXLPXLIXLUXLBXLREXLC
Sector performance
ETFSector1D5D21DYTD
XLPStaples+1.13%+3.83%+5.81%+12.8%
XLEEnergy+2.53%+3.34%+6.12%+49.5%
XLBMaterials+0.65%+2.98%+1.84%+10.4%
XLVHealth Care−0.28%+2.72%+4.91%+13.6%
XLUUtilities+1.41%+1.43%+2.74%−2.3%
XLFFinancials+0.47%+0.82%−0.66%+1.0%
XLREReal Estate+0.43%+0.58%−0.81%+4.5%
XLYDiscretionary−0.83%+0.16%+1.30%−5.0%
XLIIndustrials−0.04%−0.82%−1.18%+6.2%
XLCCommunication−1.89%−1.03%−0.50%−5.7%
XLKTechnology−3.02%−6.60%−3.27%+27.1%
06

Where open interest sits going into next week

Where open interest concentrates as the week closes, and the strikes that may anchor Monday.

Open-interest concentration from listed options. This is where contracts sit, not a measurement of dealer books: whether that OI pins or propels price depends on who holds it, which no public feed shows. Heavy call strikes have often acted as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes often mark where price has found buyers. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.

SPY — open-interest profile

Spot 763.31 · call wall 782 (6,811 OI) · put wall 731 (18,226 OI) · pinned between the walls

797792787782 · CALL WALL777772767762757752747742737732731 · PUT WALLSPOT 763.31
Call OIPut OI

QQQ — open-interest profile

Spot 710.20 · call wall 735 (9,833 OI) · put wall 700 (8,429 OI) · pinned between the walls

742737735 · CALL WALL732727722717712707702700 · PUT WALL697692687682SPOT 710.20
Call OIPut OI
07

Who reports next week

Companies reporting next week, with the estimates the street is working from.

Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 162 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.

No reporting company matches.

Reports that move something
NameReadWhenMkt capEPS est
Monday, October 19
Before open
FITBFifth Third BancorpBefore open45.7B$1.09
CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.Before open6.9B$0.24
During / TBD
SMMTSummit Therapeutics Inc. During / TBD12.3B($0.28)
PACGrupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico, S.A. de C.V.During / TBD12.0B$2.72
After close
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.After close34.5B$5.42
WRBW.R. Berkley CorporationAfter close27.5B$1.14
CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.After close12.4B$2.25
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.After close10.5B$0.39
WTFCWintrust Financial CorporationAfter close9.7B$3.29
ZIONZions Bancorporation N.A.After close9.2B$1.64
WALWestern Alliance BancorporationAfter close8.1B$2.43
BOKFBOK Financial CorporationAfter close7.6B$2.54
FNBF.N.B. CorporationAfter close6.1B$0.43
RLIRLI Corp.After close5.5B$0.58
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.After close4.3B$0.83
Tuesday, October 20
Before open
GEGE AerospaceBefore open323.7B$2.02
RTXRTX CorporationBefore open252.0B$1.78
MMM3M CompanyBefore open85.3B$2.41
GMGeneral Motors CompanyBefore open73.4B$3.52
NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationBefore open71.0B$7.22
MSCIMSCI Inc.Before open41.8B$4.98
SYFSynchrony FinancialBefore open27.5B$2.48
HALHalliburton CompanyBefore open27.4B$0.58
KEYKeyCorpBefore open21.3B$0.46
EFXEquifax, Inc.Before open18.9B$2.20
GPCGenuine Parts CompanyBefore open18.4B$2.09
HASHasbro, Inc.Before open13.9B$1.86
ALLYAlly Financial Inc.Before open11.5B$1.32
VICRVicor CorporationBefore open10.1B$1.38
VMIValmont Industries, Inc.Before open8.7B$5.71
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.Before open8.0B$1.07
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares CorporationBefore open5.5B$0.96
UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.Before open4.1B$0.77
During / TBD
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.During / TBD22.1B$2.68
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.During / TBD13.4B—
MATMattel, Inc.During / TBD4.9B$0.99
After close
NFLXSubscriber adds + ad-tier growth + content marginAfter close302.3B$0.82
ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.After close151.2B$2.13
CBChubb LimitedAfter close136.1B$6.53
COFCapital One Financial CorporationAfter close122.0B$5.45
AMXAmerica Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.After close67.5B$0.46
UALUAL — quarterly resultsAfter close32.9B$2.60
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.After close17.3B$2.69
NLYAnnaly Capital Management Inc.After close13.9B$0.78
ELSEquity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.After close11.7B$0.79
ADCAgree Realty CorporationAfter close8.3B$1.11
PEGAPegasystems Inc.After close5.9B$0.30
HWCHancock Whitney CorporationAfter close5.9B$1.65
WFRDWeatherford International plcAfter close5.4B$1.21
OZKBank OZKAfter close5.2B$1.45
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.After close4.1B$0.35
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc.After close4.0B$0.12
Wednesday, October 21
Before open
PMPhilip Morris International IncBefore open311.6B$2.30
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific IncBefore open257.5B$6.40
ABTAbbott LaboratoriesBefore open181.1B$1.42
NEENextEra Energy, Inc.Before open164.7B$1.19
DHRDanaher CorporationBefore open162.7B$1.92
TAT&T Inc.Before open161.0B$0.61
CMECME Group Inc.Before open104.1B$2.98
ELVElevance Health, Inc.Before open92.9B$4.66
MCOMoody's CorporationBefore open83.8B$4.24
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies CorporationBefore open48.6B$2.72
NTRSNorthern Trust CorporationBefore open30.3B$2.86
TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporatedBefore open28.7B$6.15
SFStifel Financial CorporationBefore open10.4B$1.43
ONBOld National BancorpBefore open9.6B$0.66
LADLithia Motors, Inc.Before open6.5B$9.75
UNFUnifirst CorporationBefore open4.8B$2.09
After close
METAReels monetization + AI capex justify-it narrativeAfter close1,876.8B$6.67
TSLAAuto margins + FSD/robotaxi narrative drive the multipleAfter close1,431.5B$0.21
LRCXLam Research CorporationAfter close347.2B$2.17
SAPSAP SEAfter close276.4B$2.03
TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedAfter close254.9B$2.39
IBMInternational Business Machines CorporationAfter close220.6B$2.87
CSXCSX CorporationAfter close90.2B$0.52
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.After close73.1B$0.33
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.After close65.2B$13.75
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.After close42.2B$1.52
CCICrown Castle Inc.After close34.0B$1.16
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.After close24.8B$0.77
RSReliance, Inc.After close20.8B$6.76
PKGPackaging Corporation of AmericaAfter close20.7B$2.95
LUVSouthwest Airlines CompanyAfter close20.0B$0.61
MEDPMedpace Holdings, Inc.After close17.5B$4.45
ROLRollins, Inc.After close16.3B$0.34
PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.After close14.3B$2.61
CACICACI International, Inc.After close13.5B$6.45
GGGGraco Inc.After close13.2B$0.82
GLGlobe Life Inc.After close12.9B$4.87
SEICSEI Investments CompanyAfter close12.6B$1.58
MOHMolina Healthcare IncAfter close11.1B$0.72
KNXKnight Transportation, Inc.After close10.6B$0.75
EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.After close10.5B$2.42
SSBSouthState Bank CorporationAfter close9.8B$2.39
ESIElement Solutions Inc.After close8.7B$0.48
FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.After close7.8B$0.82
HXLHexcel CorporationAfter close6.8B$0.49
FAFFirst American Corporation (The)After close6.5B$1.85
EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.After close5.6B$0.50
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.After close5.6B$1.31
SONSonoco Products CompanyAfter close4.9B$1.87
OIIOceaneering International, Inc.After close4.3B$0.58
FULTFulton Financial CorporationAfter close4.3B$0.55
CATYCathay General BancorpAfter close4.0B$1.44
Thursday, October 22
Before open
PGProcter & Gamble Company (The)Before open365.1B$1.89
UNPUnion Pacific CorporationBefore open171.5B$3.47
VLOValero Energy CorporationBefore open127.9B$21.23
LMTLockheed Martin CorporationBefore open122.9B$7.49
SPOTSpotify Technology S.A.Before open109.8B$3.12
BXBlackstone Inc.Before open82.0B$1.31
CMCSAComcast CorporationBefore open77.3B$0.98
BCSBarclays PLCBefore open76.8B$0.67
NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationBefore open73.0B$3.51
HONHoneywell International Inc.Before open66.7B$2.17
NOKNokia CorporationBefore open55.0B$0.08
ARGXargenx SEBefore open52.5B$7.44
NDAQNasdaq, Inc.Before open52.3B$1.02
CBRECBRE Group, Inc.Before open39.2B$1.98
ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.Before open37.8B$5.79
PCGPG&E CorpBefore open34.7B$0.41
HBANHuntington Bancshares IncorporatedBefore open31.0B$0.38
DGXQuest Diagnostics IncorporatedBefore open26.4B$2.85
DOVDover CorporationBefore open26.1B$2.85
DOWDow Inc.Before open21.4B$0.65
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.Before open21.2B$2.62
SNASnap-On IncorporatedBefore open18.9B$4.91
CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationBefore open18.9B$2.97
TSCOTractor Supply CompanyBefore open17.4B$0.40
ALLEAllegion plcBefore open13.2B$2.48
TTMITTM Technologies, Inc.Before open10.7B$1.11
BPOPPopular, Inc.Before open10.0B$3.89
FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc.Before open9.4B$2.64
ORIOld Republic International CorporationBefore open9.3B$0.76
RRyder System, Inc.Before open9.2B$4.16
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.Before open8.1B($0.28)
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc.Before open7.3B$1.39
VLYValley National BancorpBefore open7.0B$0.33
POOLPool CorporationBefore open6.1B$3.36
FSVFirstService CorporationBefore open5.9B$1.76
FBPFirst BanCorp.Before open4.2B$0.58
During / TBD
FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.During / TBD52.1B$12.42
UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc.During / TBD6.3B$0.94
IRDMIridium Communications IncDuring / TBD4.8B$0.29
OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V.During / TBD4.4B$1.92
ITGRInteger Holdings CorporationDuring / TBD4.3B$1.65
After close
WDCWestern Digital CorporationAfter close133.2B$3.97
NEMNewmont CorporationAfter close122.0B$1.96
BEBloom Energy CorporationAfter close69.6B$0.56
BBDBanco Bradesco SaAfter close45.1B$0.13
BBDOBanco Bradesco SaAfter close45.1B—
VRSNVeriSign, Inc.After close27.5B$2.42
SSNCSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.After close19.8B$1.59
DECKDeckers Outdoor CorporationAfter close11.8B$1.82
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.After close8.2B$0.60
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.After close8.1B$4.95
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.After close8.1B$0.77
APPFAppFolio, Inc.After close7.7B$1.33
MXLMaxLinear, IncAfter close7.1B$0.32
RNGRingCentral, Inc.After close6.7B$0.69
GBCIGlacier Bancorp, Inc.After close5.7B$0.79
ASBAssociated Banc-CorpAfter close5.4B$0.76
ABCBAmeris BancorpAfter close5.4B$1.68
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.After close5.2B$1.91
BYDBoyd Gaming CorporationAfter close5.2B$1.67
EBCEastern Bankshares, Inc.After close4.8B$0.49
ENVAEnova International, Inc.After close4.4B$4.19
SLMSLM CorporationAfter close4.2B$0.12
KRCKilroy Realty CorporationAfter close4.0B$0.88
Friday, October 23
Before open
AXPAmerican Express CompanyBefore open212.0B$4.47
EENI S.p.A.Before open90.4B$1.92
SLBSLB LimitedBefore open71.8B$0.62
INFYInfosys LimitedBefore open49.2B$0.21
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc.Before open23.7B$46.61
RCIRogers Communication, Inc.Before open17.6B$0.86
BAHBooz Allen Hamilton Holding CorporationBefore open9.0B$1.44
ALVAutoliv, Inc.Before open8.5B$2.21
BCPCBalchem CorporationBefore open5.4B$1.53
RITMRithm Capital Corp.Before open4.9B$0.50
FLGFlagstar Bank, N.A.Before open4.7B$0.06
GNTXGentex CorporationBefore open4.4B$0.51
During / TBD
RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories LtdDuring / TBD10.8B$0.16
Scenario — NFLX

Beat: Strong ad tier growth + raised operating margin guide = 7-12% pop
Miss: Soft engagement metrics + ad tier slower than expected = 8-15% drawdown

Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).

Open drift calls
TickerReportedBiasConfidenceGap
BAC10-14Bearish60%−4.8%
WFC10-13Bearish56%−3.1%
JPM10-13Bearish52%−0.9%
08

What insiders and Congress bought this week

This week's disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed.

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.

Recent disclosed buying
FilerTickerTrade dateAmountType
Eeme Energy Spv I, LlcSAFX10-16 · 2 days ago$142,083,45110% Owner
Bharathi SandeepMRVL10-16 · 2 days ago$865,86410b5-1
Evans John M.BEAM10-16 · 2 days ago$599,59510b5-1
Chaplin Ann CQCOM10-16 · 2 days ago$319,26810b5-1
Colis Peter GeorgeLIFE10-16 · 2 days ago$211,98610b5-1
Opaleye Management Inc.GRCE10-16 · 2 days ago$68,75810% Owner
Hassen Tyler LewisZONE10-16 · 2 days ago$55,150Chief Executive Officer
Grimme ArneNBIS10-16 · 2 days ago$25,15910b5-1
Eberwein Jeffrey E.STRR10-16 · 2 days ago$9,16010b5-1
Rubinstein JulieADPT10-16 · 2 days ago$7,63510b5-1
09

Where the big options money went

Unusual options activity across the week — the sweeps and blocks large enough to suggest conviction rather than hedging.

Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 186,007 qualifying prints, the largest a $190,901,725 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.

10

What to carry into next week

The read the desk is carrying into Monday, and what would invalidate it.

Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.