Week of October 12, 2026 · Le Dossier
A week the bulls gave back
The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, open-interest walls, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.
What mattered this week
The few things from this week that change how next week sets up.SPY finished the trailing five sessions at −1.97%. Into next week, open interest brackets SPY between the 731 put wall and the 782 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.
How the desk's week finished
Every trade the desk closed this week, grouped by book, with the best level each reached.11 trades closed this week, 8 green — 73%.
| Book | Wins | Trades | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| daytrade | 8 | 11 | 73% |
| Trade | Book | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| SPY 770C 2026-10-15 | daytrade | +261% |
| TSLL 9.5C 2026-11-06 | daytrade | +27% |
| SPY 772C 2026-10-15 | daytrade | +25% |
| SPY 765C 2026-10-16 | daytrade | +21% |
| QQQ 726C 2026-10-15 | daytrade | +0% |
How the week actually traded
Index and cross-asset closes measured against where the week began.Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.
| Index | Close | Last day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 763.25 | −1.11% | −1.97% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | 709.80 | −2.50% | −5.52% |
| Dow (DIA) | 519.10 | −0.40% | +0.58% |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | 270.44 | −1.69% | −3.05% |
Cross-Asset
Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.
| Market | Last | 5 days |
|---|---|---|
| VIX | 19.99 | +34.70% |
| 10-yr yield | 5.098 | −2.78% |
| Dollar index | 101.84 | −0.36% |
| WTI crude | 99.02 | +7.81% |
| Gold | 4,181.1 | −0.83% |
| Bitcoin | 81,872 | −1.47% |
Which sectors money rotated into
Five-day performance against twenty-one-day. Upper-right is leadership; lower-left is where money left.Staples leads over the window at +3.83%; Technology brings up the rear at −6.60%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
Rotation map
5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLP | Staples | +1.13% | +3.83% | +5.81% | +12.8% |
| XLE | Energy | +2.53% | +3.34% | +6.12% | +49.5% |
| XLB | Materials | +0.65% | +2.98% | +1.84% | +10.4% |
| XLV | Health Care | −0.28% | +2.72% | +4.91% | +13.6% |
| XLU | Utilities | +1.41% | +1.43% | +2.74% | −2.3% |
| XLF | Financials | +0.47% | +0.82% | −0.66% | +1.0% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | +0.43% | +0.58% | −0.81% | +4.5% |
| XLY | Discretionary | −0.83% | +0.16% | +1.30% | −5.0% |
| XLI | Industrials | −0.04% | −0.82% | −1.18% | +6.2% |
| XLC | Communication | −1.89% | −1.03% | −0.50% | −5.7% |
| XLK | Technology | −3.02% | −6.60% | −3.27% | +27.1% |
Where open interest sits going into next week
Where open interest concentrates as the week closes, and the strikes that may anchor Monday.Open-interest concentration from listed options. This is where contracts sit, not a measurement of dealer books: whether that OI pins or propels price depends on who holds it, which no public feed shows. Heavy call strikes have often acted as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes often mark where price has found buyers. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 763.31 · call wall 782 (6,811 OI) · put wall 731 (18,226 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 710.20 · call wall 735 (9,833 OI) · put wall 700 (8,429 OI) · pinned between the walls
Who reports next week
Companies reporting next week, with the estimates the street is working from.Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 162 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.
No reporting company matches.
| Name | Read | When | Mkt cap | EPS est |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 19 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | Before open | 45.7B | $1.09 |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Before open | 6.9B | $0.24 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| SMMT | Summit Therapeutics Inc. | During / TBD | 12.3B | ($0.28) |
| PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico, S.A. de C.V. | During / TBD | 12.0B | $2.72 |
| After close | ||||
| STLD | Steel Dynamics, Inc. | After close | 34.5B | $5.42 |
| WRB | W.R. Berkley Corporation | After close | 27.5B | $1.14 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | After close | 12.4B | $2.25 |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp. | After close | 10.5B | $0.39 |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial Corporation | After close | 9.7B | $3.29 |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation N.A. | After close | 9.2B | $1.64 |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | After close | 8.1B | $2.43 |
| BOKF | BOK Financial Corporation | After close | 7.6B | $2.54 |
| FNB | F.N.B. Corporation | After close | 6.1B | $0.43 |
| RLI | RLI Corp. | After close | 5.5B | $0.58 |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. | After close | 4.3B | $0.83 |
| Tuesday, October 20 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| GE | GE Aerospace | Before open | 323.7B | $2.02 |
| RTX | RTX Corporation | Before open | 252.0B | $1.78 |
| MMM | 3M Company | Before open | 85.3B | $2.41 |
| GM | General Motors Company | Before open | 73.4B | $3.52 |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corporation | Before open | 71.0B | $7.22 |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc. | Before open | 41.8B | $4.98 |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | Before open | 27.5B | $2.48 |
| HAL | Halliburton Company | Before open | 27.4B | $0.58 |
| KEY | KeyCorp | Before open | 21.3B | $0.46 |
| EFX | Equifax, Inc. | Before open | 18.9B | $2.20 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | Before open | 18.4B | $2.09 |
| HAS | Hasbro, Inc. | Before open | 13.9B | $1.86 |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Before open | 11.5B | $1.32 |
| VICR | Vicor Corporation | Before open | 10.1B | $1.38 |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Before open | 8.7B | $5.71 |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | Before open | 8.0B | $1.07 |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation | Before open | 5.5B | $0.96 |
| UCB | United Community Banks, Inc. | Before open | 4.1B | $0.77 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | During / TBD | 22.1B | $2.68 |
| MLI | Mueller Industries, Inc. | During / TBD | 13.4B | — |
| MAT | Mattel, Inc. | During / TBD | 4.9B | $0.99 |
| After close | ||||
| NFLX | Subscriber adds + ad-tier growth + content margin | After close | 302.3B | $0.82 |
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | After close | 151.2B | $2.13 |
| CB | Chubb Limited | After close | 136.1B | $6.53 |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corporation | After close | 122.0B | $5.45 |
| AMX | America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. | After close | 67.5B | $0.46 |
| UAL | UAL — quarterly results | After close | 32.9B | $2.60 |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | After close | 17.3B | $2.69 |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management Inc. | After close | 13.9B | $0.78 |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. | After close | 11.7B | $0.79 |
| ADC | Agree Realty Corporation | After close | 8.3B | $1.11 |
| PEGA | Pegasystems Inc. | After close | 5.9B | $0.30 |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corporation | After close | 5.9B | $1.65 |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | After close | 5.4B | $1.21 |
| OZK | Bank OZK | After close | 5.2B | $1.45 |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | After close | 4.1B | $0.35 |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | After close | 4.0B | $0.12 |
| Wednesday, October 21 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc | Before open | 311.6B | $2.30 |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc | Before open | 257.5B | $6.40 |
| ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Before open | 181.1B | $1.42 |
| NEE | NextEra Energy, Inc. | Before open | 164.7B | $1.19 |
| DHR | Danaher Corporation | Before open | 162.7B | $1.92 |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Before open | 161.0B | $0.61 |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Before open | 104.1B | $2.98 |
| ELV | Elevance Health, Inc. | Before open | 92.9B | $4.66 |
| MCO | Moody's Corporation | Before open | 83.8B | $4.24 |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | Before open | 48.6B | $2.72 |
| NTRS | Northern Trust Corporation | Before open | 30.3B | $2.86 |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | Before open | 28.7B | $6.15 |
| SF | Stifel Financial Corporation | Before open | 10.4B | $1.43 |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | Before open | 9.6B | $0.66 |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | Before open | 6.5B | $9.75 |
| UNF | Unifirst Corporation | Before open | 4.8B | $2.09 |
| After close | ||||
| META | Reels monetization + AI capex justify-it narrative | After close | 1,876.8B | $6.67 |
| TSLA | Auto margins + FSD/robotaxi narrative drive the multiple | After close | 1,431.5B | $0.21 |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corporation | After close | 347.2B | $2.17 |
| SAP | SAP SE | After close | 276.4B | $2.03 |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | After close | 254.9B | $2.39 |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | After close | 220.6B | $2.87 |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | After close | 90.2B | $0.52 |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | After close | 73.1B | $0.33 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | After close | 65.2B | $13.75 |
| WCN | Waste Connections, Inc. | After close | 42.2B | $1.52 |
| CCI | Crown Castle Inc. | After close | 34.0B | $1.16 |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | After close | 24.8B | $0.77 |
| RS | Reliance, Inc. | After close | 20.8B | $6.76 |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of America | After close | 20.7B | $2.95 |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Company | After close | 20.0B | $0.61 |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings, Inc. | After close | 17.5B | $4.45 |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | After close | 16.3B | $0.34 |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. | After close | 14.3B | $2.61 |
| CACI | CACI International, Inc. | After close | 13.5B | $6.45 |
| GGG | Graco Inc. | After close | 13.2B | $0.82 |
| GL | Globe Life Inc. | After close | 12.9B | $4.87 |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | After close | 12.6B | $1.58 |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare Inc | After close | 11.1B | $0.72 |
| KNX | Knight Transportation, Inc. | After close | 10.6B | $0.75 |
| EGP | EastGroup Properties, Inc. | After close | 10.5B | $2.42 |
| SSB | SouthState Bank Corporation | After close | 9.8B | $2.39 |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc. | After close | 8.7B | $0.48 |
| FR | First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | After close | 7.8B | $0.82 |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | After close | 6.8B | $0.49 |
| FAF | First American Corporation (The) | After close | 6.5B | $1.85 |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | After close | 5.6B | $0.50 |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | After close | 5.6B | $1.31 |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | After close | 4.9B | $1.87 |
| OII | Oceaneering International, Inc. | After close | 4.3B | $0.58 |
| FULT | Fulton Financial Corporation | After close | 4.3B | $0.55 |
| CATY | Cathay General Bancorp | After close | 4.0B | $1.44 |
| Thursday, October 22 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| PG | Procter & Gamble Company (The) | Before open | 365.1B | $1.89 |
| UNP | Union Pacific Corporation | Before open | 171.5B | $3.47 |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | Before open | 127.9B | $21.23 |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin Corporation | Before open | 122.9B | $7.49 |
| SPOT | Spotify Technology S.A. | Before open | 109.8B | $3.12 |
| BX | Blackstone Inc. | Before open | 82.0B | $1.31 |
| CMCSA | Comcast Corporation | Before open | 77.3B | $0.98 |
| BCS | Barclays PLC | Before open | 76.8B | $0.67 |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporation | Before open | 73.0B | $3.51 |
| HON | Honeywell International Inc. | Before open | 66.7B | $2.17 |
| NOK | Nokia Corporation | Before open | 55.0B | $0.08 |
| ARGX | argenx SE | Before open | 52.5B | $7.44 |
| NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. | Before open | 52.3B | $1.02 |
| CBRE | CBRE Group, Inc. | Before open | 39.2B | $1.98 |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | Before open | 37.8B | $5.79 |
| PCG | PG&E Corp | Before open | 34.7B | $0.41 |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | Before open | 31.0B | $0.38 |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Incorporated | Before open | 26.4B | $2.85 |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Before open | 26.1B | $2.85 |
| DOW | Dow Inc. | Before open | 21.4B | $0.65 |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | Before open | 21.2B | $2.62 |
| SNA | Snap-On Incorporated | Before open | 18.9B | $4.91 |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corporation | Before open | 18.9B | $2.97 |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | Before open | 17.4B | $0.40 |
| ALLE | Allegion plc | Before open | 13.2B | $2.48 |
| TTMI | TTM Technologies, Inc. | Before open | 10.7B | $1.11 |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | Before open | 10.0B | $3.89 |
| FCFS | FirstCash Holdings, Inc. | Before open | 9.4B | $2.64 |
| ORI | Old Republic International Corporation | Before open | 9.3B | $0.76 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | Before open | 9.2B | $4.16 |
| AAL | American Airlines Group, Inc. | Before open | 8.1B | ($0.28) |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct Company, Inc. | Before open | 7.3B | $1.39 |
| VLY | Valley National Bancorp | Before open | 7.0B | $0.33 |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | Before open | 6.1B | $3.36 |
| FSV | FirstService Corporation | Before open | 5.9B | $1.76 |
| FBP | First BanCorp. | Before open | 4.2B | $0.58 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | During / TBD | 52.1B | $12.42 |
| UBSI | United Bankshares, Inc. | During / TBD | 6.3B | $0.94 |
| IRDM | Iridium Communications Inc | During / TBD | 4.8B | $0.29 |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V. | During / TBD | 4.4B | $1.92 |
| ITGR | Integer Holdings Corporation | During / TBD | 4.3B | $1.65 |
| After close | ||||
| WDC | Western Digital Corporation | After close | 133.2B | $3.97 |
| NEM | Newmont Corporation | After close | 122.0B | $1.96 |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | After close | 69.6B | $0.56 |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco Sa | After close | 45.1B | $0.13 |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco Sa | After close | 45.1B | — |
| VRSN | VeriSign, Inc. | After close | 27.5B | $2.42 |
| SSNC | SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | After close | 19.8B | $1.59 |
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor Corporation | After close | 11.8B | $1.82 |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | After close | 8.2B | $0.60 |
| KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | After close | 8.1B | $4.95 |
| COLB | Columbia Banking System, Inc. | After close | 8.1B | $0.77 |
| APPF | AppFolio, Inc. | After close | 7.7B | $1.33 |
| MXL | MaxLinear, Inc | After close | 7.1B | $0.32 |
| RNG | RingCentral, Inc. | After close | 6.7B | $0.69 |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp, Inc. | After close | 5.7B | $0.79 |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | After close | 5.4B | $0.76 |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | After close | 5.4B | $1.68 |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | After close | 5.2B | $1.91 |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming Corporation | After close | 5.2B | $1.67 |
| EBC | Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | After close | 4.8B | $0.49 |
| ENVA | Enova International, Inc. | After close | 4.4B | $4.19 |
| SLM | SLM Corporation | After close | 4.2B | $0.12 |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corporation | After close | 4.0B | $0.88 |
| Friday, October 23 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| AXP | American Express Company | Before open | 212.0B | $4.47 |
| E | ENI S.p.A. | Before open | 90.4B | $1.92 |
| SLB | SLB Limited | Before open | 71.8B | $0.62 |
| INFY | Infosys Limited | Before open | 49.2B | $0.21 |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares, Inc. | Before open | 23.7B | $46.61 |
| RCI | Rogers Communication, Inc. | Before open | 17.6B | $0.86 |
| BAH | Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | Before open | 9.0B | $1.44 |
| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | Before open | 8.5B | $2.21 |
| BCPC | Balchem Corporation | Before open | 5.4B | $1.53 |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp. | Before open | 4.9B | $0.50 |
| FLG | Flagstar Bank, N.A. | Before open | 4.7B | $0.06 |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | Before open | 4.4B | $0.51 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| RDY | Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd | During / TBD | 10.8B | $0.16 |
Beat: Strong ad tier growth + raised operating margin guide = 7-12% pop
Miss: Soft engagement metrics + ad tier slower than expected = 8-15% drawdown
Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | 10-14 | Bearish | 60% | −4.8% |
| WFC | 10-13 | Bearish | 56% | −3.1% |
| JPM | 10-13 | Bearish | 52% | −0.9% |
What insiders and Congress bought this week
This week's disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed.The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eeme Energy Spv I, Llc | SAFX | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $142,083,451 | 10% Owner |
| Bharathi Sandeep | MRVL | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $865,864 | 10b5-1 |
| Evans John M. | BEAM | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $599,595 | 10b5-1 |
| Chaplin Ann C | QCOM | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $319,268 | 10b5-1 |
| Colis Peter George | LIFE | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $211,986 | 10b5-1 |
| Opaleye Management Inc. | GRCE | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $68,758 | 10% Owner |
| Hassen Tyler Lewis | ZONE | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $55,150 | Chief Executive Officer |
| Grimme Arne | NBIS | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $25,159 | 10b5-1 |
| Eberwein Jeffrey E. | STRR | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $9,160 | 10b5-1 |
| Rubinstein Julie | ADPT | 10-16 · 2 days ago | $7,635 | 10b5-1 |
Where the big options money went
Unusual options activity across the week — the sweeps and blocks large enough to suggest conviction rather than hedging.Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 186,007 qualifying prints, the largest a $190,901,725 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.
What to carry into next week
The read the desk is carrying into Monday, and what would invalidate it.Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.