Week of October 5, 2026 · Le Dossier
The tape held its bid
The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, dealer positioning, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.
What mattered this week
The few things from this week that change how next week sets up.SPY finished the trailing five sessions at +1.16%. Into next week, dealer positioning brackets SPY between the 770 put wall and the 780 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.
How the desk's week finished
Every trade the desk closed this week, grouped by book, with the best level each reached.11 trades closed this week, 6 green — 55%.
| Book | Wins | Trades | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| daytrade | 6 | 11 | 55% |
| Trade | Book | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| SPY 778C 2026-10-09 | daytrade | +116% |
| SPY 781C 2026-10-06 | daytrade | +30% |
| SPY 779C 2026-10-06 | daytrade | +29% |
| SPY 776C 2026-10-08 | daytrade | +22% |
| SPY 773P 2026-10-07 | daytrade | +20% |
How the week actually traded
Index and cross-asset closes measured against where the week began.Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.
| Index | Close | Last day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 778.57 | +0.60% | +1.16% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | 751.27 | +0.49% | +0.23% |
| Dow (DIA) | 516.11 | +0.87% | +0.98% |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | 278.94 | +0.49% | −0.92% |
Cross-Asset
Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.
| Market | Last | 5 days |
|---|---|---|
| VIX | 14.84 | −3.07% |
| 10-yr yield | 5.244 | −0.63% |
| Dollar index | 102.21 | +0.27% |
| WTI crude | 91.85 | +0.81% |
| Gold | 4,216.3 | +1.30% |
| Bitcoin | 83,650 | −2.23% |
Which sectors money rotated into
Five-day performance against twenty-one-day. Upper-right is leadership; lower-left is where money left.Utilities leads over the window at +3.58%; Communication brings up the rear at −1.11%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
Rotation map
5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLU | Utilities | +0.82% | +3.58% | −2.32% | −4.2% |
| XLP | Staples | +0.05% | +2.97% | +0.04% | +7.4% |
| XLE | Energy | −0.22% | +2.58% | −0.08% | +42.5% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | +1.89% | +2.34% | −4.15% | +3.1% |
| XLY | Discretionary | +1.05% | +2.23% | −0.06% | −4.7% |
| XLV | Health Care | +1.59% | +2.02% | +3.28% | +9.8% |
| XLF | Financials | +0.91% | +1.60% | −4.37% | −0.4% |
| XLB | Materials | +0.32% | −0.16% | −2.98% | +7.2% |
| XLI | Industrials | +0.51% | −0.49% | −1.81% | +7.1% |
| XLK | Technology | +0.54% | −1.05% | +5.95% | +37.8% |
| XLC | Communication | −1.51% | −1.11% | −1.98% | −5.6% |
Where dealers sit going into next week
Where dealer hedging sits as the week closes, and the strikes that will anchor Monday.Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 778.60 · call wall 780 (11,620 OI) · put wall 770 (6,872 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 751.84 · call wall 755 (6,222 OI) · put wall 738 (13,204 OI) · pinned between the walls
Who reports next week
Companies reporting next week, with the estimates the street is working from.Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 31 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.
No reporting company matches.
| Name | Read | When | Mkt cap | EPS est |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, October 13 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| JPM | NII trajectory + investment banking + credit quality | Before open | 881.0B | $5.94 |
| JNJ | Johnson & Johnson | Before open | 618.1B | $2.53 |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | Before open | 333.0B | $4.12 |
| GS | Investment banking rebound + trading + asset management | Before open | 257.0B | $12.90 |
| WFC | Wells Fargo & Company | Before open | 248.1B | $1.85 |
| C | Citigroup Inc. | Before open | 214.8B | $2.66 |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza Inc | Before open | 10.2B | $4.33 |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies, Inc. | Before open | 6.0B | $0.31 |
| After close | ||||
| AZZ | AZZ Inc. | After close | 4.1B | $1.82 |
| Wednesday, October 14 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | Before open | 682.1B | $12.47 |
| BAC | NII trajectory + consumer credit + capital return | Before open | 374.9B | $1.11 |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | Before open | 294.4B | $2.83 |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | Before open | 165.0B | $14.01 |
| PGR | Progressive Corporation (The) | Before open | 127.2B | $4.37 |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | Before open | 57.9B | $0.34 |
| STT | State Street Corporation | Before open | 48.1B | $3.63 |
| After close | ||||
| HOMB | Home BancShares, Inc. | After close | 5.7B | $0.63 |
| Thursday, October 15 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. | Before open | 2,375.4B | $4.45 |
| SCHW | The Charles Schwab Corporation | Before open | 167.5B | $1.66 |
| PLD | Prologis, Inc. | Before open | 122.6B | $1.58 |
| BNY | The Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation | Before open | 97.4B | $2.26 |
| USB | U.S. Bancorp | Before open | 88.9B | $1.32 |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) | Before open | 87.6B | $4.97 |
| MRSH | Marsh | Before open | 84.3B | $1.96 |
| ERIC | Ericsson | Before open | 32.0B | $0.14 |
| WIT | Wipro Limited | Before open | 16.5B | $0.04 |
| FHN | First Horizon Corporation | Before open | 11.0B | $0.53 |
| CMC | Commercial Metals Company | Before open | 7.0B | $1.97 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| INFY | Infosys Limited | During / TBD | 43.4B | $0.21 |
| After close | ||||
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | After close | 39.2B | $0.66 |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | After close | 21.5B | $1.95 |
| AA | Alcoa Corporation | After close | 11.3B | $1.65 |
| Friday, October 16 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| TRV | The Travelers Companies, Inc. | Before open | 77.2B | $6.86 |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corporation | Before open | 56.4B | $1.17 |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Before open | 31.4B | $4.98 |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | Before open | 27.0B | $1.38 |
| RF | Regions Financial Corporation | Before open | 23.1B | $0.67 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| HDB | HDFC Bank Limited | During / TBD | 112.9B | $0.40 |
| IBN | ICICI Bank Limited | During / TBD | 99.9B | $0.40 |
Beat: NII stable + IB rebound + benign credit = 3-5% pop, lifts XLF
Miss: NII step-down + credit deterioration = 4-7% downside
Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEP | 10-08 | Bullish | 57% | +3.7% |
| NKE | 10-01 | Bearish | 51% | −0.7% |
What insiders and Congress bought this week
This week's disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed.The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silverman David M | APH | 08-05 | $20,908,476 | EVP, Human Resources |
| Shellberg Jeffrey D. | BWB | 08-05 | $3,366,736 | Insider |
| Sullivan Don | CSW | 08-05 | $1,555,812 | EVP, Chief Strategy Officer |
| Blaylock Ronald E | PFE | 08-05 | $998,821 | Director |
| Buckley Mortimer J | PFE | 08-05 | $960,369 | Director |
| Harvey David C | CVBF | 08-05 | $917,680 | EVP Chief Operating Officer |
| Mcwatt Michael | NTB | 08-05 | $741,319 | Managing Director, Cayman |
| Biglari, Sardar | LOCO | 08-05 | $676,000 | 10% Owner |
| Prince Matthew | NET | 08-05 | $177,476 | 10b5-1 |
| Briggs Andrew J | FMAO | 08-05 | $104,280 | Insider |
Where the big options money went
Unusual options activity across the week — the sweeps and blocks large enough to suggest conviction rather than hedging.Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 358,980 qualifying prints, the largest a $190,901,725 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.
What to carry into next week
The read the desk is carrying into Monday, and what would invalidate it.Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.