Week of September 21, 2026 · Le Dossier
The tape held its bid
The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, dealer positioning, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.
TL;DR
SPY finished the trailing five sessions at +1.27%. Into next week, dealer positioning brackets SPY between the 735 put wall and the 787 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.
Desk — week in review
14 trades closed this week, 7 green — 50%.
| Book | Wins | Trades | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| daytrade | 7 | 14 | 50% |
| Trade | Book | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| SPY 768C 2026-09-24 | daytrade | +68% |
| SPY 770P 2026-09-23 | daytrade | +26% |
| QQQ 745P 2026-09-22 | daytrade | +25% |
| SPY 773C 2026-09-25 | daytrade | +25% |
| IWM 287P 2026-09-22 | daytrade | +22% |
Week in Review
Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.
| Index | Close | Last day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 771.35 | +0.54% | +1.27% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | 744.50 | +0.46% | +3.19% |
| Dow (DIA) | 517.49 | +0.94% | +0.31% |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | 281.97 | +0.11% | −0.75% |
Cross-Asset
Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.
| Market | Last | 5 days |
|---|---|---|
| VIX | 14.87 | +0.41% |
| 10-yr yield | 5.184 | +3.72% |
| Dollar index | 100.97 | +0.75% |
| WTI crude | 92.41 | −7.87% |
| Gold | 4,321.2 | −2.34% |
| Bitcoin | 84,766 | −1.63% |
Sector Rotation
Health Care leads over the window at +1.03%; Utilities brings up the rear at −2.76%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
Rotation map
5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLV | Health Care | +0.49% | +1.03% | −0.52% | +9.8% |
| XLK | Technology | +0.79% | +0.72% | +4.03% | +36.0% |
| XLI | Industrials | +0.93% | +0.28% | −4.69% | +7.9% |
| XLP | Staples | +0.45% | +0.21% | −3.54% | +5.7% |
| XLB | Materials | +0.20% | +0.12% | −6.49% | +8.0% |
| XLE | Energy | −0.81% | −0.54% | −0.27% | +36.0% |
| XLY | Discretionary | +0.21% | −1.46% | −4.59% | −6.6% |
| XLC | Communication | −0.91% | −1.59% | +1.33% | −3.4% |
| XLF | Financials | +0.55% | −1.89% | −5.28% | −0.2% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | −0.26% | −2.43% | −6.92% | +2.9% |
| XLU | Utilities | +0.38% | −2.76% | −8.43% | −8.5% |
Positioning Into Next Week
Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 771.21 · call wall 787 (16,237 OI) · put wall 735 (8,975 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 745.04 · call wall 755 (8,476 OI) · put wall 727 (31,066 OI) · pinned between the walls
Earnings Ahead
Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 61 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.
No reporting company matches.
| Name | Read | When | Mkt cap | EPS est |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, September 28 | ||||
| During / TBD | ||||
| GRFS | Grifols, S.A. | During / TBD | 5.0B | $0.27 |
| After close | ||||
| JEF | Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | After close | 9.0B | $1.04 |
| MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | After close | 4.9B | ($5.37) |
| Tuesday, September 29 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| CCL | Carnival Corporation Ltd. | Before open | 29.8B | $1.36 |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | Before open | 8.0B | $0.67 |
| UEC | Uranium Energy Corp. | Before open | 4.7B | ($0.04) |
| After close | ||||
| AIR | AAR Corp. | After close | 4.9B | — |
| Wednesday, September 30 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| JBL | Jabil Inc. | Before open | 32.6B | $3.86 |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | Before open | 9.6B | $4.32 |
| CAG | ConAgra Brands, Inc. | Before open | 7.0B | $0.31 |
| After close | ||||
| MU | HBM revenue + DRAM/NAND price trajectory | After close | 1,220.3B | $31.24 |
| Thursday, October 1 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| ACN | Accenture plc | Before open | 118.4B | $3.19 |
| MKC | McCormick & Company, Incorporated | Before open | 12.9B | $0.75 |
| MKC.V | McCormick & Company, Incorporated | Before open | 12.9B | — |
| AYI | Acuity Inc. | Before open | 9.3B | $5.32 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd. | During / TBD | 7.3B | — |
| After close | ||||
| NKE | NKE — quarterly results | After close | 53.4B | $0.44 |
Beat: HBM revenue beat + raised pricing commentary = 8-12% pop, lifts all memory names
Miss: HBM ramp slower than expected or NAND price weakness = 10-18% drawdown
Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COST | 09-24 | Bearish | 52% | −0.9% |
Insider Week
The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silverman David M | APH | 08-05 | $20,908,476 | EVP, Human Resources |
| Shellberg Jeffrey D. | BWB | 08-05 | $3,366,736 | Insider |
| Sullivan Don | CSW | 08-05 | $1,555,812 | EVP, Chief Strategy Officer |
| Blaylock Ronald E | PFE | 08-05 | $998,821 | Director |
| Buckley Mortimer J | PFE | 08-05 | $960,369 | Director |
| Harvey David C | CVBF | 08-05 | $917,680 | EVP Chief Operating Officer |
| Mcwatt Michael | NTB | 08-05 | $741,319 | Managing Director, Cayman |
| Biglari, Sardar | LOCO | 08-05 | $676,000 | 10% Owner |
| Prince Matthew | NET | 08-05 | $177,476 | 10b5-1 |
| Briggs Andrew J | FMAO | 08-05 | $104,280 | Insider |
Options Flow
Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 4,660 qualifying prints, the largest a $18,101,800 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.
Bottom Line
Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.