Week of September 14, 2026  ·  Le Dossier

A range week — nobody blinked

The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, dealer positioning, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.

Published Sunday Sep 20Weekly editionNext issue · Sep 275 min read
01

TL;DR

SPY finished the trailing five sessions at −0.34%. Into next week, dealer positioning brackets SPY between the 755 put wall and the 770 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.

02

Desk — week in review

13 trades closed this week, 6 green — 46%.

By book
BookWinsTradesWin rate
daytrade61346%
Best peaks this week
TradeBookPeak
SPY 760C 2026-09-18daytrade+97%
AAPL 335C 2026-09-16daytrade+71%
SPY 761C 2026-09-16daytrade+27%
SPY 761C 2026-09-17daytrade+27%
EPD 39C 2026-09-18daytrade+25%
03

Week in Review

Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.

Five-session performance
IndexCloseLast day5 days
S&P 500 (SPY)761.69−0.12%−0.34%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)721.45+0.63%+0.92%
Dow (DIA)515.88−0.48%−1.88%
Russell 2000 (IWM)284.10−0.47%−1.66%
04

Cross-Asset

Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.

Cross-asset, five sessions
MarketLast5 days
VIX14.81−6.50%
10-yr yield4.998+0.46%
Dollar index100.22+1.11%
WTI crude96.08−3.97%
Gold4,424.9+0.36%
Bitcoin80,451+6.40%
05

Sector Rotation

Technology leads over the window at +2.92%; Communication brings up the rear at −3.65%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.

Rotation map

5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership

LEADINGWEAKENINGLAGGINGIMPROVING21-DAY RETURN5-DAY RETURNXLKXLFXLEXLVXLYXLPXLIXLUXLBXLREXLC
Sector performance
ETFSector1D5D21DYTD
XLKTechnology+0.84%+2.92%+3.56%+31.4%
XLVHealth Care−0.24%+0.39%−2.34%+8.3%
XLIIndustrials+0.43%−0.12%−5.57%+7.4%
XLEEnergy−0.34%−0.46%+0.75%+40.7%
XLBMaterials−1.43%−0.97%−4.64%+8.4%
XLREReal Estate−1.01%−1.44%−5.70%+5.3%
XLYDiscretionary−0.33%−1.60%−4.84%−6.2%
XLUUtilities−1.42%−1.72%−6.12%−4.9%
XLPStaples−0.80%−1.90%−2.94%+6.6%
XLFFinancials−0.01%−2.05%−1.88%+1.7%
XLCCommunication−1.32%−3.65%+0.13%−5.2%
06

Positioning Into Next Week

Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.

SPY — open-interest profile

Spot 762.63 · call wall 770 (31,504 OI) · put wall 755 (13,435 OI) · pinned between the walls

796791786781776771770 · CALL WALL766761756755 · PUT WALL751746741736731SPOT 762.63
Call OIPut OI

QQQ — open-interest profile

Spot 722.27 · call wall 735 (8,952 OI) · put wall 715 (20,775 OI) · pinned between the walls

754749744739735 · CALL WALL734729724719715 · PUT WALL714709704699694SPOT 722.27
Call OIPut OI
07

Earnings Ahead

Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 61 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.

No reporting company matches.

Reports that move something
NameReadWhenMkt capEPS est
Monday, September 21
During / TBD
GRFSGrifols, S.A.During / TBD5.1B$0.27
After close
ABVXAbivax SAAfter close9.2B($1.08)
Tuesday, September 22
Before open
AZOAutoZone, Inc.Before open46.4B$54.97
Wednesday, September 23
Before open
CTASCintas CorporationBefore open79.1B$1.35
PAYXPaychex, Inc.Before open41.5B$1.33
GISGeneral Mills, Inc.Before open19.6B$0.72
During / TBD
UECUranium Energy Corp.During / TBD5.0B($0.04)
Thursday, September 24
Before open
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.Before open23.6B$2.06
SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationBefore open21.1B$4.38
BBBlackBerry LimitedBefore open4.7B$0.03
During / TBD
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.During / TBD7.6B—
After close
COSTComparable sales + membership + e-commerceAfter close396.4B$6.48
Scenario — COST

Beat: Comp 7%+ ex-fuel + membership growth = 3-5% pop, defensive growth bid
Miss: Comp under 4.5% or membership stalling = 4-6% downside, valuation sensitive

Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).

Open drift calls
TickerReportedBiasConfidenceGap
ORCL09-10Bearish61%−5.4%
ADBE09-10Bearish55%−2.4%
08

Insider Week

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.

Recent disclosed buying
FilerTickerTrade dateAmountType
Silverman David MAPH08-05$20,908,476EVP, Human Resources
Shellberg Jeffrey D.BWB08-05$3,366,736Insider
Sullivan DonCSW08-05$1,555,812EVP, Chief Strategy Officer
Blaylock Ronald EPFE08-05$998,821Director
Buckley Mortimer JPFE08-05$960,369Director
Harvey David CCVBF08-05$917,680EVP Chief Operating Officer
Mcwatt MichaelNTB08-05$741,319Managing Director, Cayman
Biglari, SardarLOCO08-05$676,00010% Owner
Prince MatthewNET08-05$177,47610b5-1
Briggs Andrew JFMAO08-05$104,280Insider
09

Options Flow

Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 4,138 qualifying prints, the largest a $5,771,950 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.

10

Bottom Line

Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.