Week of August 10, 2026 · Price Theory Research
A range week — nobody blinked
The week reviewed and the week ahead: index and cross-asset moves, sector rotation, dealer positioning, the earnings calendar, and the insider and options-flow tape.
TL;DR
SPY finished the trailing five sessions at +0.04%. Into next week, dealer positioning brackets SPY between the 750 put wall and the 780 call wall. The sections below are built from the desk’s own data: index and cross-asset closes, sector rotation, the coming week’s earnings calendar, disclosed insider buying, and our options-flow scanner.
Week in Review
Trailing five sessions across the majors, with the last session broken out. Breadth and rotation detail follows in the sector map.
| Index | Close | Last day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 771.61 | −0.18% | +0.04% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | 718.28 | −0.36% | −0.77% |
| Dow (DIA) | 538.54 | −0.08% | −0.35% |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | 301.33 | +0.45% | −0.13% |
Cross-Asset
Rates, the dollar, commodities and crypto over the same five sessions. Equity moves that disagree with this table usually lose the argument.
| Market | Last | 5 days |
|---|---|---|
| VIX | 15.36 | −6.91% |
| 10-yr yield | 4.684 | +1.23% |
| Dollar index | 99.82 | −0.07% |
| WTI crude | 83.09 | +9.66% |
| Gold | 4,439.5 | +8.40% |
| Bitcoin | 63,552 | −1.11% |
Sector Rotation
Health Care leads over the window at +3.94%; Utilities brings up the rear at −2.18%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
Rotation map
5-day vs 21-day — upper-right is leadership
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLV | Health Care | +1.69% | +3.94% | +4.39% | +8.3% |
| XLE | Energy | +4.72% | +2.88% | +6.09% | +31.9% |
| XLB | Materials | +0.62% | +2.27% | +5.16% | +15.3% |
| XLY | Discretionary | −0.11% | +1.20% | +3.16% | +1.1% |
| XLF | Financials | +0.36% | −0.07% | +3.15% | +5.2% |
| XLC | Communication | +0.51% | −0.17% | +0.21% | −4.3% |
| XLK | Technology | −0.87% | −0.29% | +2.78% | +29.1% |
| XLP | Staples | −0.21% | −0.45% | +0.44% | +9.3% |
| XLI | Industrials | −0.29% | −0.92% | +2.38% | +16.9% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | −1.29% | −1.64% | −0.64% | +10.0% |
| XLU | Utilities | −1.07% | −2.18% | −5.61% | −0.1% |
Positioning Into Next Week
Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 772.82 · call wall 780 (8,804 OI) · put wall 750 (12,637 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 721.07 · call wall 730 (10,065 OI) · put wall 720 (2,623 OI) · pinned between the walls
Earnings Ahead
Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 929 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.
No reporting company matches.
| Name | Read | When | Mkt cap | EPS est |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, August 11 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| SE | Sea Limited | Before open | 70.3B | $0.78 |
| CAH | Cardinal Health, Inc. | Before open | 55.5B | $2.42 |
| ESLT | Elbit Systems Ltd. | Before open | 39.3B | $3.57 |
| VG | Venture Global, Inc. | Before open | 35.4B | $0.49 |
| ONON | On Holding AG | Before open | 24.7B | $0.38 |
| TME | Tencent Music Entertainment Group | Before open | 15.6B | $0.23 |
| ARMK | Aramark | Before open | 14.6B | $0.48 |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods, Inc. | Before open | 9.6B | $0.59 |
| MIDD | The Middleby Corporation | Before open | 5.9B | $2.28 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories, Inc. | During / TBD | 7.2B | $0.17 |
| COGT | Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | During / TBD | 7.1B | ($0.55) |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. | During / TBD | 6.3B | $0.12 |
| ERAS | Erasca, Inc. | During / TBD | 6.2B | ($0.12) |
| MANE | Veradermics, Incorporated | During / TBD | 4.6B | ($0.58) |
| PHI | PLDT Inc. | During / TBD | 4.3B | — |
| TNGX | Tango Therapeutics, Inc. | During / TBD | 4.0B | ($0.31) |
| After close | ||||
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings Inc. | After close | 63.3B | $2.62 |
| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. | After close | 48.1B | ($1.67) |
| FNV | Franco-Nevada Corporation | After close | 46.4B | $1.95 |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer, Inc. | After close | 18.9B | $0.56 |
| QNT | Quantinuum Inc. | After close | 14.8B | ($0.26) |
| CAVA | CAVA Group, Inc. | After close | 7.2B | $0.18 |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services Inc. | After close | 6.7B | $1.45 |
| HRB | H&R Block, Inc. | After close | 5.8B | $2.23 |
| FLY | Firefly Aerospace Inc. | After close | 4.1B | ($0.50) |
| Wednesday, August 12 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| NBIS | Nebius Group N.V. | Before open | 46.7B | ($0.67) |
| AMCR | Amcor plc | Before open | 21.8B | $1.20 |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group Company | Before open | 17.9B | $1.62 |
| TRMB | Trimble Inc. | Before open | 13.6B | $0.65 |
| EAT | Brinker International, Inc. | Before open | 9.8B | $3.07 |
| LQDA | Liquidia Corporation | Before open | 8.1B | $0.70 |
| FRVO | Fervo Energy Company | Before open | 7.0B | ($0.09) |
| GLBE | Global-E Online Ltd. | Before open | 6.9B | $0.22 |
| BETA | Beta Technologies, Inc. | Before open | 5.5B | ($0.59) |
| MRX | Marex Group Limited | Before open | 4.5B | $1.36 |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Before open | 4.3B | $1.06 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| TECH | Bio-Techne Corp | During / TBD | 11.3B | $0.46 |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. | During / TBD | 6.7B | $0.27 |
| TKC | Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS | During / TBD | 4.8B | — |
| TGS | Transportadora De Gas Sa Ord B | During / TBD | 4.4B | $0.63 |
| After close | ||||
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | After close | 483.1B | $0.99 |
| COHR | Coherent Corp. | After close | 63.6B | $1.43 |
| CBRS | Cerebras Systems Inc. | After close | 51.3B | ($0.21) |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver Corp. | After close | 21.8B | $0.84 |
| SUZ | Suzano S.A. | After close | 10.3B | $0.06 |
| CAE | CAE Inc | After close | 8.6B | $0.17 |
| STN | Stantec Inc | After close | 8.4B | $1.15 |
| ENS | EnerSys | After close | 6.8B | $2.82 |
| ANDG | Andersen Group Inc. | After close | 5.5B | ($0.16) |
| EQPT | EquipmentShare.com Inc | After close | 5.0B | ($0.10) |
| TBBB | BBB Foods Inc. | After close | 4.8B | ($0.17) |
| LFTO | Liftoff Mobile, Inc. | After close | 4.4B | ($0.52) |
| Thursday, August 13 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| BN | Brookfield Corporation | Before open | 108.4B | $0.63 |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | Before open | 45.7B | $0.77 |
| BSP | Bending Spoons S.p.A. | Before open | 34.6B | $0.27 |
| TPR | Tapestry, Inc. | Before open | 33.3B | $1.26 |
| ASND | Ascendis Pharma A/S | Before open | 15.8B | $0.78 |
| PS | Pershing Square Inc. | Before open | 14.9B | $0.12 |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | Before open | 13.2B | $2.92 |
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | Before open | 9.4B | $0.78 |
| XE | X-Energy, Inc. | Before open | 8.4B | ($0.09) |
| BIRK | Birkenstock Holding plc | Before open | 7.3B | $0.87 |
| LGN | Legence Corp. | Before open | 6.9B | $0.26 |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. | Before open | 6.4B | $0.23 |
| GDS | GDS Holdings Limited | Before open | 6.3B | $1.35 |
| MWH | SOLV Energy, Inc. | Before open | 5.8B | $0.26 |
| ONDS | Ondas Inc | Before open | 5.3B | ($0.09) |
| ALH | Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. | Before open | 5.2B | $0.35 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| NU | Nu Holdings Ltd. | During / TBD | 67.3B | $0.20 |
| KB | KB Financial Group Inc | During / TBD | 43.3B | $3.51 |
| YPF | YPF Sociedad Anonima | During / TBD | 20.0B | $2.84 |
| QXO | QXO, Inc. | During / TBD | 16.0B | $0.09 |
| BNT | Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. | During / TBD | 15.1B | — |
| AES | The AES Corporation | During / TBD | 10.5B | — |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | During / TBD | 9.9B | $4.03 |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | During / TBD | 7.4B | $0.49 |
| CIG | Comp En De Mn Cemig ADS | During / TBD | 5.8B | — |
| GLNG | Golar LNG Limited | During / TBD | 5.2B | $0.30 |
| CELC | Celcuity Inc. | During / TBD | 4.4B | ($1.08) |
| SKE | Skeena Resources Limited | During / TBD | 4.1B | ($0.11) |
| After close | ||||
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | After close | 414.5B | $3.36 |
| BAP | Credicorp Ltd. | After close | 36.1B | $7.20 |
| BLTE | Belite Bio, Inc | After close | 6.6B | ($0.73) |
| DLO | DLocal Limited | After close | 4.2B | $0.20 |
| Monday, August 17 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| HTHT | H World Group Limited | Before open | 13.2B | $0.65 |
| During / TBD | ||||
| XP | XP Inc. | During / TBD | 8.4B | $0.51 |
| GRFS | Grifols, S.A. | During / TBD | 5.5B | $0.27 |
| After close | ||||
| FN | Fabrinet | After close | 18.9B | $3.69 |
| Tuesday, August 18 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| HD | Comp sales + housing turnover + pro vs DIY mix | Before open | 349.8B | $4.71 |
| BIDU | Baidu, Inc. | Before open | 37.3B | $1.19 |
| AS | Amer Sports, Inc. | Before open | 20.2B | $0.10 |
| KLAR | Klarna Group plc | Before open | 13.8B | ($0.07) |
| During / TBD | ||||
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | During / TBD | 229.4B | — |
| After close | ||||
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies Inc. | After close | 57.3B | $2.16 |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | After close | 18.4B | — |
| TOL | Toll Brothers, Inc. | After close | 14.0B | $2.90 |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | After close | 11.0B | $1.43 |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems Inc | After close | 6.5B | $0.20 |
Beat: Comp turning positive + Pro acceleration = 4-6% pop, lifts housing complex
Miss: Comp negative + ticket declining = 5-7% downside
Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBER | 08-05 | Bearish | 61% | −5.3% |
| ABNB | 08-06 | Bearish | 51% | −0.6% |
Insider Week
The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silverman David M | APH | 08-05 | $20,908,476 | EVP, Human Resources |
| Shellberg Jeffrey D. | BWB | 08-05 | $3,366,736 | Insider |
| Sullivan Don | CSW | 08-05 | $1,555,812 | EVP, Chief Strategy Officer |
| Blaylock Ronald E | PFE | 08-05 | $998,821 | Director |
| Buckley Mortimer J | PFE | 08-05 | $960,369 | Director |
| Harvey David C | CVBF | 08-05 | $917,680 | EVP Chief Operating Officer |
| Mcwatt Michael | NTB | 08-05 | $741,319 | Managing Director, Cayman |
| Biglari, Sardar | LOCO | 08-05 | $676,000 | 10% Owner |
| Prince Matthew | NET | 08-05 | $177,476 | 10b5-1 |
| Briggs Andrew J | FMAO | 08-05 | $104,280 | Insider |
Options Flow
Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. This week it flagged 1,667 qualifying prints, the largest a $12,195,419 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.
Bottom Line
Positioning resets Monday. The rotation map says where the sponsorship is; the walls say where the friction is. Plan entries at the places those two agree, and let the calendar — not the tape — decide when to be flat.