October 25, 2026 · Le Dossier
Futures point lower into the open
The pre-open brief: overnight markets, open-interest walls, early movers, insider filings and the prior session's options tape — one page, before the bell.
What matters this morning
The few things most likely to move your positions today, before anything else on this page.S&P futures are lower at −1.23%. VIX at 19.45 prices elevated risk. SPY opens between the 750 put wall and the 765 call wall — those are the day’s magnets.
Everything below is generated from the same data our desk trades on: the overnight session, open-interest walls, the early movers, and the filings and options tape from the prior session.
Where futures moved overnight
Index futures against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central, with the yield and dollar backdrop that sets the tone for rate-sensitive groups.Levels are the overnight session against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central. Treasury yield and the dollar set the tone for rate-sensitive groups before the equity open.
| Market | Last | Change |
|---|---|---|
| S&P futures | 7,659.75 | −1.23% |
| Nasdaq futures | 29,117.75 | −1.88% |
| Russell futures | 2,784.50 | −0.09% |
| VIX | 19.45 | +5.48% |
| 10-yr yield | 4.988% | −2.88% |
| Dollar index | 101.75 | +0.02% |
| WTI crude | 103.27 | +1.45% |
| Gold | 4,007.9 | −3.25% |
| Bitcoin | 80,475 | −4.21% |
Where open interest concentrates
Where listed-options open interest concentrates. Price often stalls at the largest strikes and moves faster once it clears them; the hedging read is inferred from that OI, not measured.Open-interest concentration from listed options. This is where contracts sit, not a measurement of dealer books: whether that OI pins or propels price depends on who holds it, which no public feed shows. Heavy call strikes have often acted as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes often mark where price has found buyers. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 760.10 · call wall 765 (6,246 OI) · put wall 750 (86,808 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 705.42 · call wall 735 (18,722 OI) · put wall 680 (16,452 OI) · pinned between the walls
What is already moving pre-market
Names gapping before the open and the volume behind the move — who is in play before the bell rather than after it.The names moving on volume in the early tape. Gap continuation and gap fade both start from this list — what matters is which of these hold their opening range.
| Ticker | Price | Move |
|---|---|---|
| BGLWW | 0.02 | +750.00% |
| AIOK | 12.02 | +182.82% |
| RMSGW | 0.03 | +107.89% |
| ZKPW | 0.20 | +99.41% |
| SWAGW | 0.01 | +74.19% |
| CLRO | 3.25 | +69.27% |
| GPATW | 0.06 | +66.94% |
| BOLT | 6.27 | +49.64% |
| Ticker | Price | Move |
|---|---|---|
| AARD | 1.39 | −64.81% |
| SHFS | 0.13 | −61.39% |
| BIAFW | 0.17 | −58.24% |
| HUBCZ | 0.01 | −56.74% |
| KCAI | 15.00 | −53.21% |
| AMPGZ | 0.03 | −49.07% |
| DAVI | 6.00 | −48.50% |
| BURU | 0.24 | −42.45% |
Who reports today
Companies reporting before the open or after the close, with the estimates the street is working from.Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 10-21 | Bullish | 57% | +3.4% |
| TXN | 10-21 | Bullish | 55% | +2.5% |
| META | 10-21 | Bullish | 51% | +0.5% |
Which sectors are leading
Relative strength across the eleven sectors, so you can see where money is actually going rather than where the index went.Energy leads over the window at +2.57%; Staples brings up the rear at −1.89%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | Energy | +2.57% | +2.24% | +11.73% | +51.9% |
| XLK | Technology | +0.50% | −1.46% | −6.63% | +27.0% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | +0.11% | +2.18% | +2.47% | +5.5% |
| XLU | Utilities | −0.69% | +2.86% | +7.70% | −1.4% |
| XLB | Materials | −0.79% | +0.73% | +3.03% | +11.2% |
| XLV | Health Care | −1.15% | +2.05% | +5.00% | +15.2% |
| XLI | Industrials | −1.29% | −1.26% | −3.42% | +4.2% |
| XLF | Financials | −1.33% | +1.52% | +1.96% | +1.8% |
| XLY | Discretionary | −1.65% | −1.16% | +2.32% | −4.4% |
| XLC | Communication | −1.77% | −4.19% | −6.56% | −9.7% |
| XLP | Staples | −1.89% | +1.18% | +7.54% | +13.6% |
What insiders and Congress bought
The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries keep most of the historical edge.The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honeycutt Jennifer | VLTO | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $745,290 | 10b5-1 |
| Swank Jerry V | NXG | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $439,493 | See Remarks |
| Rebrovick Linda | HSTM | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $420,000 | 10b5-1 |
| Ashish Arora | CRCT | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $375,648 | 10b5-1 |
| Sanchez Ramiro | RAPP | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $98,478 | Insider |
| Nelson Blake | NXG | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $39,582 | CFO & Treasurer |
| Fisher Robert D | CHCO | 10-23 · 2 days ago | $23,451 | 10b5-1 |
The levels that matter today
Prior-session high, low and close for the names on the desk's screen. These are the lines the tape reacts to.Prior-session and five-day extremes. The prior high and low are the first reference points for the open; the five-day range frames the swing.
| Index ETF | Last | Prior high | Prior low | 5-day high | 5-day low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 759.97 | 763.47 | 758.68 | 774.44 | 758.68 |
| QQQ | 704.40 | 709.30 | 701.16 | 727.95 | 701.16 |
| IWM | 275.75 | 276.24 | 273.35 | 277.70 | 270.71 |
| DIA | 521.37 | 523.70 | 519.88 | 528.45 | 517.75 |
What to do with all this
How the desk is framing the session, and the one thing that would change the plan.The open belongs to whoever pre-committed. Futures are lower; the walls and prior-session levels above are the map. Take the trade only where a level and a catalyst agree — and size as if the first read is wrong.