October 21, 2026 · Le Dossier
Futures lean risk-on into the open
The pre-open brief: overnight markets, open-interest walls, early movers, insider filings and the prior session's options tape — one page, before the bell.
What matters this morning
The few things most likely to move your positions today, before anything else on this page.S&P futures are higher at +0.91%. VIX at 17.33 prices elevated risk. SPY opens between the 741 put wall and the 775 call wall — those are the day’s magnets.
Everything below is generated from the same data our desk trades on: the overnight session, open-interest walls, the early movers, and the filings and options tape from the prior session.
How the desk's Tuesday trades closed
Every trade the desk closed yesterday, with the entry price and the best level it reached.2 of 4 closed trades finished green on Tuesday.
| Trade | Book | Entry | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY 773C 2026-10-20 | daytrade | $0.95 | +30% |
| QQQ 724C 2026-10-20 | daytrade | $1.02 | +24% |
Where futures moved overnight
Index futures against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central, with the yield and dollar backdrop that sets the tone for rate-sensitive groups.Levels are the overnight session against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central. Treasury yield and the dollar set the tone for rate-sensitive groups before the equity open.
| Market | Last | Change |
|---|---|---|
| S&P futures | 7,774.00 | +0.91% |
| Nasdaq futures | 29,865.75 | +1.61% |
| Russell futures | 2,792.70 | +2.09% |
| VIX | 17.33 | +5.29% |
| 10-yr yield | 5.117% | −1.41% |
| Dollar index | 101.67 | −0.17% |
| WTI crude | 98.67 | −2.70% |
| Gold | 4,157.6 | −0.56% |
| Bitcoin | 83,388 | +2.46% |
Where open interest concentrates
Where listed-options open interest concentrates. Price often stalls at the largest strikes and moves faster once it clears them; the hedging read is inferred from that OI, not measured.Open-interest concentration from listed options. This is where contracts sit, not a measurement of dealer books: whether that OI pins or propels price depends on who holds it, which no public feed shows. Heavy call strikes have often acted as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes often mark where price has found buyers. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.
SPY — open-interest profile
Spot 770.63 · call wall 775 (7,385 OI) · put wall 741 (15,926 OI) · pinned between the walls
QQQ — open-interest profile
Spot 721.63 · call wall 730 (6,190 OI) · put wall 700 (9,347 OI) · pinned between the walls
What is already moving pre-market
Names gapping before the open and the volume behind the move — who is in play before the bell rather than after it.The names moving on volume in the early tape. Gap continuation and gap fade both start from this list — what matters is which of these hold their opening range.
| Ticker | Price | Move |
|---|---|---|
| AIMDW | 0.06 | +111.31% |
| SAIQ | 6.84 | +100.59% |
| SCAGW | 0.01 | +73.08% |
| SHFSW | 0.01 | +65.00% |
| COPL.WS | 0.07 | +60.55% |
| PRSO | 0.59 | +54.13% |
| ATGL | 6.93 | +52.64% |
| BRZE | 45.57 | +51.70% |
| Ticker | Price | Move |
|---|---|---|
| CJMB | 0.66 | −65.63% |
| SDSTW | 0.03 | −59.23% |
| ALPXW | 0.03 | −58.40% |
| BKHAU | 4.15 | −52.41% |
| BCAT.RT | 0.00 | −50.00% |
| BTBDW | 0.01 | −46.00% |
| GME.WS | 0.80 | −44.06% |
| SAGU.WS | 0.02 | −42.86% |
Who reports today
Companies reporting before the open or after the close, with the estimates the street is working from.Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 40 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.
No reporting company matches.
| Name | Read | When | Mkt cap | EPS est |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, October 21 | ||||
| Before open | ||||
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc | Before open | 313.4B | $2.30 |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc | Before open | 251.2B | $6.40 |
| ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Before open | 180.1B | $1.43 |
| NEE | NextEra Energy, Inc. | Before open | 163.1B | $1.20 |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Before open | 159.0B | $0.61 |
| DHR | Danaher Corporation | Before open | 157.8B | $1.92 |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Before open | 105.5B | $2.98 |
| ELV | Elevance Health, Inc. | Before open | 93.3B | $4.66 |
| MCO | Moody's Corporation | Before open | 83.4B | $4.25 |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | Before open | 48.4B | $2.72 |
| NTRS | Northern Trust Corporation | Before open | 30.1B | $2.86 |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | Before open | 28.7B | $6.15 |
| SF | Stifel Financial Corporation | Before open | 10.0B | $1.43 |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | Before open | 9.5B | $0.66 |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | Before open | 6.4B | $9.70 |
| UNF | Unifirst Corporation | Before open | 4.7B | $2.09 |
| After close | ||||
| META | Reels monetization + AI capex justify-it narrative | After close | 1,797.1B | $4.98 |
| TSLA | Auto margins + FSD/robotaxi narrative drive the multiple | After close | 1,453.7B | $0.22 |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corporation | After close | 340.6B | $2.17 |
| SAP | SAP SE | After close | 277.7B | $2.03 |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | After close | 252.2B | $2.40 |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | After close | 222.7B | $2.88 |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | After close | 88.7B | $0.52 |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | After close | 74.4B | $0.33 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | After close | 63.8B | $13.83 |
| WCN | Waste Connections, Inc. | After close | 42.3B | $1.52 |
| CCI | Crown Castle Inc. | After close | 34.5B | $1.16 |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | After close | 24.6B | $0.72 |
| RS | Reliance, Inc. | After close | 21.2B | $6.76 |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of America | After close | 21.1B | $2.95 |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Company | After close | 19.0B | $0.61 |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings, Inc. | After close | 17.3B | $4.45 |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | After close | 15.7B | $0.34 |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. | After close | 14.2B | $2.61 |
| CACI | CACI International, Inc. | After close | 13.6B | $6.45 |
| GGG | Graco Inc. | After close | 13.1B | $0.82 |
| GL | Globe Life Inc. | After close | 12.9B | $4.87 |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | After close | 12.6B | $1.59 |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare Inc | After close | 11.0B | $0.72 |
| EGP | EastGroup Properties, Inc. | After close | 10.6B | $2.42 |
| KNX | Knight Transportation, Inc. | After close | 10.3B | $0.75 |
| SSB | SouthState Bank Corporation | After close | 9.8B | $2.39 |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc. | After close | 8.7B | $0.48 |
| FR | First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | After close | 7.7B | $0.82 |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | After close | 6.9B | $0.48 |
| FAF | First American Corporation (The) | After close | 6.6B | $1.85 |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | After close | 5.7B | $1.31 |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | After close | 5.5B | $0.50 |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | After close | 4.9B | $1.82 |
| OII | Oceaneering International, Inc. | After close | 4.4B | $0.58 |
| FULT | Fulton Financial Corporation | After close | 4.2B | $0.55 |
Beat: Ad revenue 18%+ growth with capex maintained (not raised) = 6-9% pop. Strong AI commentary helps.
Miss: Ad slowdown + capex raise = 8-12% downside, classic Meta volatility pattern. Reality Labs losses widening hurts.
Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).
| Ticker | Reported | Bias | Confidence | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | 10-14 | Bearish | 60% | −4.8% |
| NFLX | 10-20 | Bearish | 53% | −1.7% |
| JPM | 10-13 | Bearish | 52% | −0.9% |
Which sectors are leading
Relative strength across the eleven sectors, so you can see where money is actually going rather than where the index went.Health Care leads over the window at +2.36%; Technology brings up the rear at −0.27%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.
| ETF | Sector | 1D | 5D | 21D | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLV | Health Care | +2.36% | +3.36% | +5.83% | +15.6% |
| XLRE | Real Estate | +1.74% | +2.13% | −0.26% | +5.0% |
| XLF | Financials | +1.18% | +2.24% | +1.72% | +1.4% |
| XLU | Utilities | +1.18% | +0.31% | +3.33% | −3.1% |
| XLY | Discretionary | +0.91% | +3.56% | +2.81% | −2.4% |
| XLP | Staples | +0.58% | +1.96% | +6.09% | +12.9% |
| XLB | Materials | +0.57% | +3.14% | +1.37% | +11.1% |
| XLE | Energy | +0.23% | +0.50% | +10.01% | +48.9% |
| XLC | Communication | +0.08% | −0.54% | −2.91% | −5.7% |
| XLI | Industrials | +0.07% | −0.14% | −2.03% | +5.6% |
| XLK | Technology | −0.27% | −2.62% | −5.51% | +28.5% |
What insiders and Congress bought
The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries keep most of the historical edge.The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.
| Filer | Ticker | Trade date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eeme Energy Spv I, Llc | SAFX | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $142,083,451 | 10% Owner |
| Bharathi Sandeep | MRVL | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $865,864 | 10b5-1 |
| Evans John M. | BEAM | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $599,595 | 10b5-1 |
| Chaplin Ann C | QCOM | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $319,268 | 10b5-1 |
| Colis Peter George | LIFE | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $211,986 | 10b5-1 |
| Opaleye Management Inc. | GRCE | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $68,758 | 10% Owner |
| Hassen Tyler Lewis | ZONE | 10-16 · 5 days ago | $55,150 | Chief Executive Officer |
The levels that matter today
Prior-session high, low and close for the names on the desk's screen. These are the lines the tape reacts to.Prior-session and five-day extremes. The prior high and low are the first reference points for the open; the five-day range frames the swing.
| Index ETF | Last | Prior high | Prior low | 5-day high | 5-day low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 769.05 | 772.29 | 764.25 | 776.35 | 760.64 |
| QQQ | 717.63 | 722.75 | 710.39 | 740.53 | 707.23 |
| IWM | 275.78 | 276.90 | 271.29 | 276.90 | 269.88 |
| DIA | 524.36 | 526.17 | 518.46 | 526.17 | 512.96 |
What to do with all this
How the desk is framing the session, and the one thing that would change the plan.The open belongs to whoever pre-committed. Futures are higher; the walls and prior-session levels above are the map. Take the trade only where a level and a catalyst agree — and size as if the first read is wrong.