October 15, 2026  ·  Le Dossier

Futures point lower into the open

The pre-open brief: overnight markets, open-interest walls, early movers, insider filings and the prior session's options tape — one page, before the bell.

Published Thursday Oct 15, 7:00 AM CTDaily edition6 min read
01

What matters this morning

The few things most likely to move your positions today, before anything else on this page.

S&P futures are lower at −1.33%. VIX at 17.36 prices elevated risk. SPY opens between the 737 put wall and the 770 call wall — those are the day’s magnets.

Everything below is generated from the same data our desk trades on: the overnight session, open-interest walls, the early movers, and the filings and options tape from the prior session.

02

How the desk's Wednesday trades closed

Every trade the desk closed yesterday, with the entry price and the best level it reached.

No closed winners on Wednesday Oct 14.

03

Where futures moved overnight

Index futures against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central, with the yield and dollar backdrop that sets the tone for rate-sensitive groups.

Levels are the overnight session against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central. Treasury yield and the dollar set the tone for rate-sensitive groups before the equity open.

Overnight session
MarketLastChange
S&P futures7,753.75−1.33%
Nasdaq futures29,865.50−3.34%
Russell futures2,752.10−2.14%
VIX17.36+16.98%
10-yr yield5.190%−0.78%
Dollar index102.05−0.52%
WTI crude94.08+0.36%
Gold4,172.0−0.44%
Bitcoin80,890−3.33%
04

Where open interest concentrates

Where listed-options open interest concentrates. Price often stalls at the largest strikes and moves faster once it clears them; the hedging read is inferred from that OI, not measured.

Open-interest concentration from listed options. This is where contracts sit, not a measurement of dealer books: whether that OI pins or propels price depends on who holds it, which no public feed shows. Heavy call strikes have often acted as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes often mark where price has found buyers. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.

SPY — open-interest profile

Spot 768.84 · call wall 770 (19,886 OI) · put wall 737 (41,339 OI) · pinned between the walls

803798793788783778773770 · CALL WALL768763758753748743738737 · PUT WALLSPOT 768.84
Call OIPut OI

QQQ — open-interest profile

Spot 727.79 · call wall 740 (25,278 OI) · put wall 730 (4,286 OI) · trading below its put wall — no OI support beneath

760755750745740 · CALL WALL735730 · PUT WALL725720715710705700SPOT 727.79
Call OIPut OI
05

What is already moving pre-market

Names gapping before the open and the volume behind the move — who is in play before the bell rather than after it.

The names moving on volume in the early tape. Gap continuation and gap fade both start from this list — what matters is which of these hold their opening range.

Gapping up
TickerPriceMove
MGOL14.57+3838.81%
DFSCW0.02+85.98%
GLND3.90+76.47%
TGL0.45+61.87%
GLNDW1.01+53.03%
AMTD0.58+51.44%
NIVF0.29+50.20%
YRD0.65+42.77%
Gapping down
TickerPriceMove
ASGI.RT0.00−98.57%
WFF0.17−91.75%
NWGL0.26−78.15%
BCAT.RT0.00−71.43%
RPGL15.49−65.19%
SEATW0.00−61.11%
SBFMW0.03−47.71%
DSX.WS0.45−47.60%
06

Who reports today

Companies reporting before the open or after the close, with the estimates the street is working from.

Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 13 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.

No reporting company matches.

Reports that move something
NameReadWhenMkt capEPS est
Thursday, October 15
Before open
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.Before open2,308.6B$4.45
SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationBefore open165.9B$1.66
PLDPrologis, Inc.Before open126.6B$1.58
BNYThe Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation Before open95.7B$2.26
USBU.S. BancorpBefore open88.6B$1.32
PNCPNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (The)Before open87.6B$4.97
MRSHMarshBefore open84.5B$1.96
ERICEricssonBefore open32.7B$0.14
WITWipro LimitedBefore open17.8B$0.04
FHNFirst Horizon CorporationBefore open10.8B$0.53
CMCCommercial Metals CompanyBefore open7.2B$1.97
After close
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.After close39.6B$0.67
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.After close21.5B$1.81
AAAlcoa CorporationAfter close10.9B$1.65

Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).

Open drift calls
TickerReportedBiasConfidenceGap
BAC10-14Bearish60%−4.8%
WFC10-13Bearish56%−3.1%
JPM10-13Bearish52%−0.9%
07

Which sectors are leading

Relative strength across the eleven sectors, so you can see where money is actually going rather than where the index went.

Health Care leads over the window at +2.48%; Technology brings up the rear at −2.97%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.

Sector performance
ETFSector1D5D21DYTD
XLVHealth Care+2.48%+3.46%+3.67%+11.8%
XLPStaples+2.25%+3.20%+3.24%+10.8%
XLEEnergy+0.65%+3.68%+5.57%+48.1%
XLBMaterials−0.08%+0.81%−1.42%+7.7%
XLUUtilities−0.10%+1.83%+1.16%−3.2%
XLFFinancials−0.57%+0.51%−2.56%−0.8%
XLYDiscretionary−0.75%−0.15%+1.24%−5.8%
XLREReal Estate−0.75%+1.63%−3.00%+2.8%
XLIIndustrials−0.93%−0.78%−0.95%+5.8%
XLCCommunication−1.28%−1.09%−1.93%−5.2%
XLKTechnology−2.97%−3.71%+3.48%+32.0%
08

What insiders and Congress bought

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries keep most of the historical edge.

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.

Recent disclosed buying
FilerTickerTrade dateAmountType
Cohen RyanGME10-13 · 2 days ago$20,979,000President, CEO and Chairman
Ritchie Robert CAII10-13 · 2 days ago$1,389,68710b5-1
Rubinstein JulieADPT10-13 · 2 days ago$302,96610b5-1
Berger Franklin MRTSN10-13 · 2 days ago$120,000Director
Hassen Tyler LewisZONE10-13 · 2 days ago$116,400Chief Executive Officer
Cook MeredithANIP10-13 · 2 days ago$36,79510b5-1
Ben-Noon Dagi ShaharQTEX10-13 · 2 days ago$20,999Chief Executive Officer
09

The levels that matter today

Prior-session high, low and close for the names on the desk's screen. These are the lines the tape reacts to.

Prior-session and five-day extremes. The prior high and low are the first reference points for the open; the five-day range frames the swing.

Reference levels
Index ETFLastPrior highPrior low5-day high5-day low
SPY769.60776.35766.71779.42766.71
QQQ728.95740.53726.39757.18726.39
IWM271.37274.46270.35279.88270.35
DIA515.63518.19512.96522.81508.66
10

What to do with all this

How the desk is framing the session, and the one thing that would change the plan.

The open belongs to whoever pre-committed. Futures are lower; the walls and prior-session levels above are the map. Take the trade only where a level and a catalyst agree — and size as if the first read is wrong.