September 24, 2026  ·  Le Dossier

Futures point lower into the open

The pre-open brief: overnight markets, dealer positioning, early movers, insider filings and the prior session's options tape — one page, before the bell.

Published Thursday Sep 24, 7:00 AM CTDaily edition4 min read
01

TL;DR

S&P futures are lower at −1.42%. VIX at 16.15 prices calm. SPY opens between the 737 put wall and the 772 call wall — those are the day’s magnets.

Everything below is generated from the same data our desk trades on: the overnight session, dealer positioning, the early movers, and the filings and options tape from the prior session.

02

Desk — Wednesday

1 of 2 closed trades finished green on Wednesday.

Closed green — Wednesday Sep 23
TradeBookEntryPeak
SPY 770P 2026-09-23daytrade$0.68+26%
03

Overnight & Futures

Levels are the overnight session against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central. Treasury yield and the dollar set the tone for rate-sensitive groups before the equity open.

Overnight session
MarketLastChange
S&P futures7,722.50−1.42%
Nasdaq futures30,429.50−1.15%
Russell futures2,845.80−1.78%
VIX16.15+9.05%
10-yr yield5.114%+3.38%
Dollar index101.27+0.84%
WTI crude93.71−2.16%
Gold4,294.9−2.03%
Bitcoin83,463+2.86%
04

Dealer Positioning

Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.

SPY — open-interest profile

Spot 767.69 · call wall 772 (30,824 OI) · put wall 737 (11,152 OI) · pinned between the walls

802797792787782777772 · CALL WALL767762757752747742737 · PUT WALLSPOT 767.69
Call OIPut OI

QQQ — open-interest profile

Spot 741.20 · call wall 750 (15,541 OI) · put wall 740 (1,984 OI) · pinned between the walls

774769764759754750 · CALL WALL749744740 · PUT WALL739734729724719714709SPOT 741.20
Call OIPut OI
05

Early Movers

The names moving on volume in the early tape. Gap continuation and gap fade both start from this list — what matters is which of these hold their opening range.

Gapping up
TickerPriceMove
BENF2.90+438.73%
WHLR5.44+190.91%
BFRGW0.26+139.74%
NIVFW0.02+114.44%
VSA3.64+83.84%
ARTL7.31+76.14%
GPATW0.07+74.75%
BENFW0.01+67.47%
Gapping down
TickerPriceMove
JAGX8.91−74.14%
JSPRW0.00−56.67%
HVIIU4.65−55.33%
ADGM0.23−53.04%
HVII4.46−50.88%
OGGWZ0.03−49.70%
SLND.WS0.01−48.03%
ILLRW0.04−36.01%
06

Earnings Radar

Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 18 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.

No reporting company matches.

Reports that move something
NameReadWhenMkt capEPS est
Thursday, September 24
Before open
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.Before open24.4B$2.06
SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationBefore open22.6B$4.46
BBBlackBerry LimitedBefore open5.1B$0.03
During / TBD
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.During / TBD7.6B—
After close
COSTComparable sales + membership + e-commerceAfter close398.9B$6.48
Scenario — COST

Beat: Comp 7%+ ex-fuel + membership growth = 3-5% pop, defensive growth bid
Miss: Comp under 4.5% or membership stalling = 4-6% downside, valuation sensitive

07

Sector Posture

Energy leads over the window at +0.99%; Utilities brings up the rear at −1.88%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.

Sector performance
ETFSector1D5D21DYTD
XLEEnergy+0.99%−3.23%+0.51%+36.6%
XLIIndustrials−0.11%+0.64%−4.65%+7.7%
XLPStaples−0.31%−1.25%−4.68%+6.1%
XLFFinancials−0.44%−2.39%−6.45%−0.7%
XLKTechnology−0.48%+3.87%+7.48%+35.4%
XLBMaterials−0.51%−0.88%−6.19%+9.0%
XLVHealth Care−0.65%+0.00%−3.70%+8.5%
XLCCommunication−0.85%+0.21%−0.54%−3.7%
XLYDiscretionary−1.51%−0.67%−6.19%−6.5%
XLREReal Estate−1.51%−2.54%−7.72%+3.7%
XLUUtilities−1.88%−4.61%−8.18%−7.9%
08

Insider Tape

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.

Recent disclosed buying
FilerTickerTrade dateAmountType
Silverman David MAPH08-05$20,908,476EVP, Human Resources
Shellberg Jeffrey D.BWB08-05$3,366,736Insider
Sullivan DonCSW08-05$1,555,812EVP, Chief Strategy Officer
Blaylock Ronald EPFE08-05$998,821Director
Buckley Mortimer JPFE08-05$960,369Director
Harvey David CCVBF08-05$917,680EVP Chief Operating Officer
Mcwatt MichaelNTB08-05$741,319Managing Director, Cayman
09

Options Flow Recap

Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. Wednesday it flagged 1,029 qualifying prints, the largest a $18,101,800 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.

10

Levels

Prior-session and five-day extremes. The prior high and low are the first reference points for the open; the five-day range frames the swing.

Reference levels
Index ETFLastPrior highPrior low5-day high5-day low
SPY767.81773.05766.50775.14757.97
QQQ741.21747.13738.19748.35713.32
IWM281.92286.18281.84288.94281.84
DIA514.30517.66513.95520.67513.95
11

Bottom Line

The open belongs to whoever pre-committed. Futures are lower; the walls and prior-session levels above are the map. Take the trade only where a level and a catalyst agree — and size as if the first read is wrong.