September 10, 2026  ·  Le Dossier

Futures point lower into the open

The pre-open brief: overnight markets, dealer positioning, early movers, insider filings and the prior session's options tape — one page, before the bell.

Published Thursday Sep 10, 7:00 AM CTDaily edition4 min read
01

TL;DR

S&P futures are lower at −1.04%. VIX at 16.68 prices calm. SPY opens between the 760 put wall and the 768 call wall — those are the day’s magnets.

Everything below is generated from the same data our desk trades on: the overnight session, dealer positioning, the early movers, and the filings and options tape from the prior session.

02

Desk — Wednesday

1 of 2 closed trades finished green on Wednesday.

Closed green — Wednesday Sep 9
TradeBookEntryPeak
TSLA 375C 2026-09-09daytrade$1.07+52%
03

Overnight & Futures

Levels are the overnight session against the prior settle, captured at 7:00 AM Central. Treasury yield and the dollar set the tone for rate-sensitive groups before the equity open.

Overnight session
MarketLastChange
S&P futures7,641.75−1.04%
Nasdaq futures29,317.75−0.84%
Russell futures2,922.30−1.82%
VIX16.68+14.80%
10-yr yield4.837%+0.85%
Dollar index98.91−0.25%
WTI crude97.51+6.59%
Gold4,425.0−0.11%
Bitcoin77,809−3.16%
04

Dealer Positioning

Dealer positioning from listed options open interest. Heavy call strikes act as magnets-then-ceilings when spot trades below them; heavy put strikes mark where hedging flows tend to defend. The walls are the largest single-strike concentrations near the money.

SPY — open-interest profile

Spot 762.28 · call wall 768 (8,418 OI) · put wall 760 (3,941 OI) · pinned between the walls

796791786781776771768 · CALL WALL766761760 · PUT WALL756751746741736731SPOT 762.28
Call OIPut OI

QQQ — open-interest profile

Spot 716.29 · call wall 730 (11,323 OI) · put wall 710 (2,334 OI) · pinned between the walls

748743738733730 · CALL WALL728723718713710 · PUT WALL708703698693688SPOT 716.29
Call OIPut OI
05

Early Movers

The names moving on volume in the early tape. Gap continuation and gap fade both start from this list — what matters is which of these hold their opening range.

Gapping up
TickerPriceMove
MGN0.28+174.70%
SUNE4.51+90.30%
YMAT2.27+71.32%
NMCO.RTWI0.05+66.89%
NCOOW0.05+66.11%
DAICW0.01+65.00%
SBXD.WS0.14+62.49%
FTFT2.09+59.54%
Gapping down
TickerPriceMove
NTRBW0.20−59.18%
KTTAW0.00−52.70%
DICE25.16−47.08%
TMCWW0.00−45.00%
SWAGW0.00−41.82%
CRMT1.48−40.76%
NUR1.55−36.99%
MRNOW0.01−32.97%
06

Earnings Radar

Grouped by day, then by session — before the open, during hours (slot unconfirmed), after the close. Coverage is every reporter in roughly the top 1,000 by market cap (the large-cap index universe). 33 smaller names reporting in the window are excluded; the full list is available on request. Where a name is on our coverage list, the one-line read is ours.

No reporting company matches.

Reports that move something
NameReadWhenMkt capEPS est
Thursday, September 10
Before open
MMacy's IncBefore open5.9B$0.37
During / TBD
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.During / TBD7.3B($0.26)
After close
ORCLOCI growth + RPO backlog + AI capexAfter close468.1B$1.39
ADBEAdobe Inc.After close102.3B$4.86
CPRTCopart, Inc.After close30.2B$0.39
DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group Inc.After close6.5B$0.57
Scenario — ORCL

Beat: OCI 55%+ + RPO above $130B + raised capex (signaling demand) = 6-10% pop
Miss: OCI under 45% or RPO disappointing = 8-15% drawdown

Drift book. Post-earnings drift positions our model is still tracking (10-session window from the report date).

Open drift calls
TickerReportedBiasConfidenceGap
PANW09-01Bearish60%−5.2%
SNOW09-02Bearish59%−4.4%
AVGO09-02Bearish51%−0.7%
07

Sector Posture

Energy leads over the window at +0.90%; Industrials brings up the rear at −1.50%. Rotation, not direction, is usually the earlier tell.

Sector performance
ETFSector1D5D21DYTD
XLEEnergy+0.90%+0.41%+7.29%+43.1%
XLKTechnology+0.01%+2.35%+0.98%+30.2%
XLVHealth Care−0.35%−3.72%−0.85%+7.1%
XLFFinancials−0.44%−1.04%−1.30%+3.8%
XLCCommunication−0.65%−1.41%−0.40%−5.2%
XLBMaterials−1.08%−2.96%−3.45%+11.4%
XLREReal Estate−1.08%−0.71%−1.41%+7.6%
XLUUtilities−1.16%+0.69%−1.52%−0.6%
XLPStaples−1.17%−2.88%−1.95%+6.9%
XLYDiscretionary−1.33%−2.07%−5.67%−5.0%
XLIIndustrials−1.50%−0.57%−7.49%+8.7%
08

Insider Tape

The freshest disclosed buys from corporate insiders and Congressional filers, sized by dollars committed. Filing-date entries retain most of the historical edge; scheduled 10b5-1 activity is labelled and should be discounted.

Recent disclosed buying
FilerTickerTrade dateAmountType
Silverman David MAPH08-05$20,908,476EVP, Human Resources
Shellberg Jeffrey D.BWB08-05$3,366,736Insider
Sullivan DonCSW08-05$1,555,812EVP, Chief Strategy Officer
Blaylock Ronald EPFE08-05$998,821Director
Buckley Mortimer JPFE08-05$960,369Director
Harvey David CCVBF08-05$917,680EVP Chief Operating Officer
Mcwatt MichaelNTB08-05$741,319Managing Director, Cayman
09

Options Flow Recap

Our scanner watches the listed options tape in real time for sweeps and blocks hitting at the ask or the bid across the most liquid underlyings. Wednesday it flagged 974 qualifying prints, the largest a $6,395,400 single order. The live tape runs on the dashboard during market hours.

10

Levels

Prior-session and five-day extremes. The prior high and low are the first reference points for the open; the five-day range frames the swing.

Reference levels
Index ETFLastPrior highPrior low5-day high5-day low
SPY762.40764.47760.94774.03760.94
QQQ716.31719.70714.02721.89705.10
IWM290.64294.16290.31296.18290.31
DIA524.07525.74523.25537.62523.25
11

Bottom Line

The open belongs to whoever pre-committed. Futures are lower; the walls and prior-session levels above are the map. Take the trade only where a level and a catalyst agree — and size as if the first read is wrong.